Wednesday, January 12, 2011

Google Reports Earnings on Thursday, January 20 (Charts) *Financial Performance Review* GOOG


Google reports earnings on Thursday, January 20

Google Financial Performance Review

Google will be reporting quarterly financial results on Thursday, January 20 after market close. The conference call will be at 1:30 p.m. PT. Google financial performance charts for prior quarters have been posted on the Google Financial Performance page and will be updated for this next quarterly report. The charts are:
Google Performance by the Quarters
Earnings per Share (Diluted) and Cash Flow per Share
Total Revenues, Operating Income, Net Income
Gross Margin, Operating Margin, Net Margin
Return on Assets
Total Revenues and Earnings per Share Growth Rates
Revenue Sources
Traffic Acquisition Costs
Geographic Revenues

Google Future and Past Financial Performance

Q4 2010 Analysts' Estimates
Yahoo Finance analysts' estimates for Q4 2010 are:
Total Revenues: $6.04B average, $5.72B low estimate, $6.24B high estimate, 37 analysts
Earnings per Share: $8.06 average, $7.75 low estimate, $8.42 high estimate, 39 analysts

Q4 2010 Google Outlook
Google did not provide any projections or guidance for Q4 2010.

Q3 2010 Financial Results
When Google reports calendar Q4, the 3 months ended December, financial results on January 14, Google should hopefully beat various Q3 results. These financial results are charted on the Google Financial Performance page. Google for Q3, the 3 months ended September, financial results were:
Total Revenues $7.286B
Operating Income $2.547B
Net Income $2.167B
Net Income - Diluted Share $6.72
Cash Flow per Share $8.95
Gross Profit Margin 64.97%%
Operating Income Margin 34.96%
Net Income Margin 29.74%

Google should meet and exceed Q3 2010 financial results. The question is by how much? The analysts' average Earnings Per Share is $8.06, which is about a 20% increase from Q3 2010 EPS of $6.72. This may be stretching it a bit for Q4 2010 EPS. Google may not reach $8.00 EPS in Q4 2010, although traditionally Q4 is Google's best quarter (with the exception of Q4 2009). The analysts' average Total Revenues of $6.04B is too low. Google may reach or be close to $8.0B in Q4 2010. Google should meet or beat on Cash Flow per Share and could potentially reach $10.00. For Q4 2010, Google should beat Q3 2010 on Total Revenues, Operating Income, Net Income, Earnings per Share, and Cash Flow per Share. Google should be close to Q3 2010 on Gross Profit Margin, Operating Income Margin, and Net Income Margin. The detailed quarter by quarter charts are on the Google Financial Performance page.

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